FameEX Hot Topics | Historical Data Shows Bitcoin Typically Surges Within 150 Days After Gold Hits New Highs

The price of gold surged to an all-time high of $3,357 per ounce on April 17, sparking renewed speculation about whether Bitcoin will follow suit. Historically, Bitcoin has often posted major rallies after gold experiences strong upward moves. In 2017, for instance, Bitcoin climbed to $19,120 just months after gold saw a 30% price surge. A similar pattern emerged in 2020, when gold peaked at $2,075 during the COVID-19 pandemic, preceding Bitcoin’s run to its then-record high of $69,000 in 2021.

This recurring trend highlights a potential correlation between the two assets, especially during periods of economic instability. Investors frequently turn to gold and Bitcoin as hedges against the weakening U.S. dollar, driving demand for both. Joe Consorti, head of growth at Theya, underscored this relationship, stating that Bitcoin tends to trail gold’s directional movement by approximately 100 to 150 days. “When the printer roars to life, gold sniffs it out first, then Bitcoin follows harder,” he said, referring to periods of monetary expansion.

Looking ahead, this historical lag suggests that Bitcoin could potentially surpass previous highs between the third and fourth quarters of 2025. An anonymous crypto analyst, known as apsk32, supported this forecast, identifying July through November as a likely window for a major rally. He referenced a “power curve time contour” model that has previously anticipated Bitcoin’s explosive growth phases. According to apsk32, this cycle could send Bitcoin soaring to $400,000, especially when its value is measured in ounces of gold instead of U.S. dollars.

Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, also weighed in, describing both Bitcoin and gold as essential signals of economic health. In a recent CNBC interview, he labeled the current environment as a “Minsky Moment”—a term that denotes a tipping point in the financial system characterized by increased risk and volatility. Novogratz emphasized that despite a 10% year-to-date drop in equities, markets are still underestimating the impact of major macroeconomic shifts.

He pointed to rising tariffs and a resurgence of Trump-era economic policies as contributors to growing uncertainty. As interest rates rise and the dollar weakens, Novogratz warned that the U.S. is beginning to resemble an emerging market, further fueled by fiscal concerns and a soaring national debt now exceeding $35 trillion.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this section is for reference only and does not represent any investment advice or the official views of FameEX.